On the H4 chart XAGUSD has been carving a clear downtrend since the June 22 swing high near 65.6. The market has successively made lower highs and lower lows, with the most recent swing high at 63.28 and a low‑volume rally that stalled around 61.7. Volume spikes on the 61.85‑close candle (≈38 k) and the preceding 61.69‑low candle underline aggressive selling, while the following sessions show only moderate participation, suggesting a lack of bullish conviction. The price is now testing the 61.5‑61.4 support zone, which has held for several bars. A break below the 61.5 level would confirm the bearish…

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