On the H4 chart of NZD/USD the market has been carving a descending channel since the mid‑week rally. Recent candles show lower highs – the peak of 0.58432 on the 1781625600 bar receded to a high of 0.584 on the latest bar – and lower closes, with the last close at 0.58374 versus 0.58394 a session earlier. Volume has been contracting sharply, falling from over 14k contracts to under 4k, indicating waning buying enthusiasm and a lack of conviction behind the upside. At the same time, the price is testing the upper edge of the channel near 0.584, while the…

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