On the JP225 H4 chart the Nikkei 225 index has been carving a descending channel since the early June swing high around 72080. The last six candles show a classic lower‑high, lower‑low pattern: highs fell from 71469 to 71014, then bounced to 72079 before slipping back to 71929, while the lows have been nudging lower, breaking the 70700 support zone. Volume has been uneven, with the strongest spikes on the bullish rallies (e.g., 26 800 and 21 729 contracts) but markedly thinner participation on the down‑moves, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the recent up‑trend. Momentum indicators align with the…

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