On the H4 chart the USD/CAD pair has been trading in a tight range between 1.398 and 1.416 since early June. A pronounced bullish spike to 1.4158 on the 2026‑06‑22 candle was accompanied by modest volume (≈7k), suggesting limited conviction. The subsequent candle closed lower with falling volume, confirming a lack of buying pressure and establishing a bearish divergence. Technical indicators now show the price testing the 1.4160‑1.4170 resistance cluster while failing to sustain the breakout. A descending trendline from the 1.402‑1.409 region now acts as dynamic support, and a break below the 1.4100‑1.4110 floor would open the path toward…

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